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my comments:
by looking at the way amd has been performing in the recent years i think they should be able to get 50% in 10 years. their processors are more powerful and economical than intel. they were the pioneers in 64bit processors. and hey intel had cancelled their 4ghz chip because they also wanted to concentrate on processing power rather than speed like AMD.
they seem to be holding back a little and therefore I think they can easily take 50% if they wanted to. They were from what I can see probing Intel for the past few years. The Athlon arcitechture is superior to the Pentium as can be seen by the efficiency: Athlon CPUs run at much lower speeds and still challange their Intel counterparts in every front. AMD could probably release faster CPUs and blow the Pentium out of the market but the repercussions from a giant company like Intel can be in giant proportions too, which is probably why they are holding back.
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